Schedule: the flights that flew on Sunday, Oct 4, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SKYWEST · FLIGHT OO 4819
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Sunday, October 11 Today
OO 4819 · DFW → SGU
departs 8:40 AM CT · arrives 10:39 AM MT
Forecast issued Sun 7:00 AM ET · 3h before departure
Watch this flight
Odds over time
Arrive at SGU more than 15 minutes late?
22%
chance · ±0 pts
+3 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
High. The odds now come mostly from live FAA and airport data.
Arrive 15+ late
22%
Leave 15+ late
16%
Arrive 1h+ late
10%
Cancelled
<1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
6.4d
2d
1d
12h
6h
Now
Departs
Lands
Arrive at SGU more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 21% · changed +3 pts in 24h
+3 pts
22%
Yes 22%
No 78%
Leave DFW more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 14% · changed +2 pts in 24h
+2 pts
16%
Yes 16%
No 84%
Arrive at SGU more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 5% · changed +5 pts in 24h
+5 pts
10%
Yes 10%
No 90%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed −2 pts in 24h
−2 pts
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to SGU?
On time or early
77%
15–30 min late
6%
30 min–1 hour late
7%
1–2 hours late
7%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Gusts to 31 kt, visibility down to 0.8 mi, 0.7 in of rain forecast at SGU that day
↑
OO's recent on-time record
↑
This flight has been late 26% of the time recently
↓
Gusts to 26 kt forecast at DFW that day
↓
Early flights usually leave on time
Weather at each end
DFW (origin)
Gusts 26 kt Ceiling none (clear) Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
SGU (destination)
Gusts 31 kt Ceiling 2,367 ft Visibility 2 mi Precip 0.67 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.