Schedule: FAA flight plans.

SKYWEST · FLIGHT OO 4959 DELAYED: NOW PLANNED TO TAKE OFF 1:41 PM MST (1 H 16 MIN LATER THAN FIRST FILED)

Sunday, October 11 Yesterday

OO 4959 · HMO → PHX

departs 12:18 PM MST · arrives 1:47 PM MT

Your aircraft is N510SY (E75L), coming in as OO 4959 from PHX: still at PHX, due off about 12:12 PM MT, 55 min after the scheduled departure (a tight turn, so this flight may leave late).

Forecast issued Sun 10:00 PM ET · 7h after departure

Arrive at PHX more than 15 minutes late?

99% chance · ±0 pts +5 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

How late will it get to PHX?

On time or early
57%
15–30 min late
14%
30 min–1 hour late
8%
1–2 hours late
10%
Over 2 hours late
9%
Cancelled
2%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Gusts to 36 kt, visibility down to 2 mi, 0.4 in of rain, thunderstorms forecast at PHX that day

↑ Mostly benign weather forecast at HMO

↑ PHX is prone to delays

↓ Sundays in October are usually quieter than average

Weather at each end

HMO (origin) Gusts3 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

PHX (destination) Gusts37 kt Ceiling6,500 ft Visibility5 mi Precip0.27 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

OO 4959 · HMO → PHX

Odds over time

How late will it get to PHX?