OO 5790 · SFO → SEA

took off 7:47 AM PT · expected to land 9:32 AM PT (scheduled 7:50 AM PT → 10:22 AM PT)

Forecast issued Sun 10:00 AM ET · 1h before departure

Arrive at SEA more than 15 minutes late?

0% chance · ±0 pts −2 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

How late will it get to SEA?

LIVE

On time or early
100%
15–30 min late
0%
30 min–1 hour late
0%
1–2 hours late
0%
Over 2 hours late
0%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%; while it’s in the air they come from the FAA’s arrival estimate.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Arrivals into SEA at that hour are often late

↑ SEA is prone to delays

↑ This flight has been late 29% of the time recently

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at SFO

↓ Other factors

Weather at each end

SFO (origin) Gusts17 kt Ceiling1,700 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

SEA (destination) Gusts13 kt Ceiling10,000 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

OO 5790 · SFO → SEA

Odds over time

How late will it get to SEA?