Schedule: the flights that flew on Sunday, Oct 4, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SKYWEST · FLIGHT OO 6394
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Sunday, October 11 Today
OO 6394 · PHX → BFL
departs 10:04 AM MT · arrives 11:43 AM PT
Forecast issued Sun 6:00 AM ET · 7h before departure
Watch this flight
Odds over time
Arrive at BFL more than 15 minutes late?
27%
chance · ±0 pts
−1 pt · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
27%
Leave 15+ late
29%
Arrive 1h+ late
16%
Cancelled
2%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
15%
30%
45%
60%
6.5d
2d
1d
12h
Now
Departs
Lands
Arrive at BFL more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 22% · changed −1 pt in 24h
−1 pt
27%
Yes 27%
No 73%
Leave PHX more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 25% · changed +1 pt in 24h
+1 pt
29%
Yes 29%
No 71%
Arrive at BFL more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 8% · changed +3 pts in 24h
+3 pts
16%
Yes 16%
No 84%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
2%
Yes 2%
No 98%
How late will it get to BFL?
On time or early
72%
15–30 min late
5%
30 min–1 hour late
6%
1–2 hours late
10%
Over 2 hours late
5%
Cancelled
2%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Gusts to 35 kt forecast at PHX that day
↑
OO's recent on-time record
↑
Arrivals into BFL at that hour are often late
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at BFL
↓
Early flights usually leave on time
Weather at each end
PHX (origin)
Gusts 35 kt Ceiling none (clear) Visibility 10+ mi Precip 0.05 in
BFL (destination)
Gusts 21 kt Ceiling 11,000 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.