OO 9916 · PHX → MAF

departs 7:20 AM MT · arrives 11:13 AM CT

Your aircraft is N630SK (CRJ7).

Forecast issued Sun 10:00 PM ET · 12h after departure

Arrive at MAF more than 15 minutes late?

30% chance · ±0 pts – · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

How late will it get to MAF?

On time or early
68%
15–30 min late
12%
30 min–1 hour late
7%
1–2 hours late
7%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
4%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Gusts to 35 kt forecast at PHX that day

↑ OO's recent on-time record

↑ This flight has been late 28% of the time recently

↓ Early flights usually leave on time

↓ Arrivals into MAF at that hour are usually not late

Weather at each end

PHX (origin) Gusts37 kt Ceiling6,500 ft Visibility5 mi Precip0.27 in

MAF (destination) Gusts29 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

OO 9916 · PHX → MAF

Odds over time

How late will it get to MAF?