tailodds FORECAST

Schedule: FAA flight plans.

ASIANA · FLIGHT OZ 204 IN THE AIR (OFF 10:02 PM KST, SEEN BY ADS-B)
Yesterday

OZ 204 · ICN → LAX

took off 10:02 PM KST (scheduled 9:40 PM KST → 4:20 PM PT)
Forecast issued Sun 3:00 PM ET · 6h after departure
Arrive at LAX more than 15 minutes late?
40% chance · ±2 pts +3 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.
MOSTLY HISTORY WEATHER FORECASTS LIVE IN THE AIR 0% 15% 30% 45% 60% 5.5d 2d 1d 12h 6h Departs Now Lands

How late will it get to LAX?

  1. On time or early
    58%
  2. 15–30 min late
    12%
  3. 30 min–1 hour late
    17%
  4. 1–2 hours late
    5%
  5. Over 2 hours late
    4%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.