OZ 223 · JFK → ICN

took off 1:59 AM ET · expected to land 5:16 AM KST (scheduled 1:50 AM ET → 6:14 AM KST)

Forecast issued Sun 1:00 PM ET · 11h after departure

Arrive at ICN more than 15 minutes late?

0% chance · ±0 pts +14 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

How late will it get to ICN?

LIVE

On time or early
100%
15–30 min late
0%
30 min–1 hour late
0%
1–2 hours late
0%
Over 2 hours late
0%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%; while it’s in the air they come from the FAA’s arrival estimate.

What’s moving the odds

↑ This route's recent record

↑ JFK is busy at that time

↑ 1am departures from JFK are often late

↓ Early flights usually leave on time

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at ICN

Weather at each end

JFK (origin) Gusts29 kt Ceiling400 ft Visibility1 mi Precip1.02 in

ICN (destination) Gusts— Ceiling— Visibility— Precip—

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

OZ 223 · JFK → ICN

Odds over time

How late will it get to ICN?