PD 604 · LGA → YYZ

departs 10:13 AM ET · arrives 11:48 AM EDT

Your aircraft is CGKQS (E295), coming in as PD 603 from YYZ: still at YYZ, due off about 7:35 AM EDT, 56 min before departure.

Forecast issued Sun 7:00 AM ET · 3h before departure

Arrive at YYZ more than 15 minutes late?

23% chance · ±0 pts +1 pt · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE High. The odds now come mostly from live FAA and airport data.

How late will it get to YYZ?

On time or early
76%
15–30 min late
0%
30 min–1 hour late
17%
1–2 hours late
3%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Gusts to 27 kt, cloud base down to 500 ft, visibility down to 1 mi, 0.9 in of rain forecast at LGA that day

↑ 10am departures from LGA are often late

↑ LGA is prone to delays

↓ Early flights usually leave on time

↓ Arrivals into YYZ at that hour are usually not late

Weather at each end

LGA (origin) Gusts27 kt Ceiling500 ft Visibility0.5 mi Precip0.91 in

YYZ (destination) Gusts11 kt Ceiling300 ft Visibility3 mi Precip0.04 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

PD 604 · LGA → YYZ

Odds over time

How late will it get to YYZ?