Schedule: the flights that flew on Sunday, Oct 4, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
QANTAS · FLIGHT QF 7012
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Sunday, October 11 Yesterday
QF 7012 · LAX → SYD
departs 12:45 AM PT · arrives 9:12 AM AEDT
Forecast issued Sun 10:00 PM ET · 18h after departure
Watch this flight
Odds over time
Arrive at SYD more than 15 minutes late?
21%
chance · ±0 pts
+7 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.
Arrive 15+ late
21%
Leave 15+ late
24%
Arrive 1h+ late
5%
Cancelled
4%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
5.3d
2d
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at SYD more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 22% · changed +7 pts in 24h
+7 pts
21%
Yes 21%
No 79%
Leave LAX more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 24% · changed +12 pts in 24h
+12 pts
24%
Yes 24%
No 76%
Arrive at SYD more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 5% · changed +2 pts in 24h
+2 pts
5%
Yes 5%
No 95%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: 4% · changed +4 pts in 24h
+4 pts
4%
Yes 4%
No 96%
How late will it get to SYD?
On time or early
76%
15–30 min late
6%
30 min–1 hour late
8%
1–2 hours late
3%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
4%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
This route's recent record
↑
0.3 in of rain forecast at LAX that day
↑
LAX is busy at that time
↓
Early flights usually leave on time
↓
Arrivals into SYD at that hour are usually not late
Weather at each end
LAX (origin)
Gusts 23 kt Ceiling 1,700 ft Visibility 9 mi Precip 0.04 in
SYD (destination)
Gusts — Ceiling — Visibility — Precip —
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.