QX 2011 · YVR → SEA

took off 6:09 AM PDT · landed 6:40 AM PT (scheduled 6:00 AM PDT → 7:01 AM PT)

Forecast issued Sun 7:00 AM ET · 2h before departure

Arrive at SEA more than 15 minutes late?

Not late chance · ±0 pts −2 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE High. The odds now come mostly from live FAA and airport data.

How late did it get to SEA?

RESOLVED

On time or early
✓
15–30 min late
–
30 min–1 hour late
–
1–2 hours late
–
Over 2 hours late
–

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ This route's recent record

↑ Mostly benign weather forecast at YVR

↑ QX's recent on-time record

↓ Early flights usually leave on time

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at SEA

Weather at each end

YVR (origin) Gusts14 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

SEA (destination) Gusts13 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

QX 2011 · YVR → SEA

Odds over time

How late did it get to SEA?