Schedule: the flights that flew on Sunday, Oct 4, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
HORIZON · FLIGHT QX 2067
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Sunday, October 11
QX 2067 · PUW → SEA
departs 5:56 AM PT · arrives 7:16 AM PT
Forecast issued Thu 2:00 PM ET · 67h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 18%
Fri 10/9 12%
Sat 10/10 15%
Sun 10/11
Mon 10/12 16%
Tue 10/13 11%
Wed 10/14 10%
Odds over time
Arrive at SEA more than 15 minutes late?
9%
chance · ±1 pts
−5 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
9%
Leave 15+ late
7%
Arrive 1h+ late
2%
Cancelled
<1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
5%
10%
15%
20%
5.5d
Now
2d
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at SEA more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 7% · changed −5 pts in 24h
−5 pts
9%
Yes 9%
No 91%
Leave PUW more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 8% · changed −3 pts in 24h
−3 pts
7%
Yes 7%
No 93%
Arrive at SEA more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 2% · changed −1 pt in 24h
−1 pt
2%
Yes 2%
No 98%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed −1 pt in 24h
−1 pt
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to SEA?
On time or early
90%
15–30 min late
3%
30 min–1 hour late
4%
1–2 hours late
<1%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
This route's recent record
↑
QX's recent on-time record
↓
Early flights usually leave on time
↓
Arrivals into SEA at that hour are usually not late
Weather at each end
PUW (origin)
Gusts 16 kt Ceiling 9,000 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
SEA (destination)
Gusts 11 kt Ceiling 900 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.