QX 2163 · GEG → LAX

took off 7:29 AM PT · expected to land 9:46 AM PT (scheduled 6:52 AM PT → 9:42 AM PT)

Forecast issued Sun 10:00 AM ET · 0h before departure

Arrive at LAX more than 15 minutes late?

53% chance · ±0 pts −6 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

How late will it get to LAX?

LIVE

On time or early
47%
15–30 min late
45%
30 min–1 hour late
8%
1–2 hours late
0%
Over 2 hours late
0%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%; while it’s in the air they come from the FAA’s arrival estimate.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Mostly benign weather forecast at LAX

↑ LAX is prone to delays

↑ This route's recent record

↓ Early flights usually leave on time

↓ 6am departures from GEG are usually not late

Weather at each end

GEG (origin) Gusts25 kt Ceiling3,300 ft Visibility8 mi Precip0.03 in

LAX (destination) Gusts20 kt Ceiling3,500 ft Visibility10+ mi Precip0.06 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

QX 2163 · GEG → LAX

Odds over time

How late will it get to LAX?