QX 2202 · SEA → RNO

took off 9:17 AM PT · landed 10:34 AM PT (scheduled 8:56 AM PT → 10:48 AM PT)

Forecast issued Sun 2:00 PM ET · 2h after departure

Arrive at RNO more than 15 minutes late?

Not late chance · ±1 pts +1 pt · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

How late did it get to RNO?

RESOLVED

On time or early
✓
15–30 min late
–
30 min–1 hour late
–
1–2 hours late
–
Over 2 hours late
–

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ QX's recent on-time record

↑ This route's recent record

↑ RNO is prone to delays

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at SEA

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at RNO

Weather at each end

SEA (origin) Gusts12 kt Ceiling10,000 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

RNO (destination) Gusts14 kt Ceiling8,000 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

QX 2202 · SEA → RNO

Odds over time

How late did it get to RNO?