QX 2344 · SEA → YYC

took off 8:09 AM PT · landed 10:22 AM MDT (scheduled 7:59 AM PT → 10:45 AM MDT)

Forecast issued Sun 2:00 PM ET · 3h after departure

Arrive at YYC more than 15 minutes late?

Not late chance · ±0 pts −8 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

How late did it get to YYC?

RESOLVED

On time or early
✓
15–30 min late
–
30 min–1 hour late
–
1–2 hours late
–
Over 2 hours late
–

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Cloud base down to 1,100 ft, visibility down to 2 mi forecast at YYC that day

↑ QX's recent on-time record

↑ This route's recent record

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at SEA

↓ Arrivals into YYC at that hour are usually not late

Weather at each end

SEA (origin) Gusts12 kt Ceiling10,000 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

YYC (destination) Gusts8 kt Ceiling1,800 ft Visibility9 mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

QX 2344 · SEA → YYC

Odds over time

How late did it get to YYC?