QX 2434 · SEA → PSC

took off 12:54 PM PT · expected to land 1:26 PM PT (scheduled 12:19 PM PT → 1:28 PM PT)

Forecast issued Sun 2:00 PM ET · 1h before departure

Arrive at PSC more than 15 minutes late?

16% chance · ±0 pts +1 pt · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE High. The odds now come mostly from live FAA and airport data.

How late will it get to PSC?

LIVE

On time or early
84%
15–30 min late
15%
30 min–1 hour late
<1%
1–2 hours late
0%
Over 2 hours late
0%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%; while it’s in the air they come from the FAA’s arrival estimate.

What’s moving the odds

↑ 12pm departures from SEA are often late

↑ SEA is busy at that time

↑ SEA is prone to delays

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at SEA

↓ Arrivals into PSC at that hour are usually not late

Weather at each end

SEA (origin) Gusts12 kt Ceiling10,000 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

PSC (destination) Gusts21 kt Ceiling5,500 ft Visibility8 mi Precip0.01 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

QX 2434 · SEA → PSC

Odds over time

How late will it get to PSC?