RV 1637 · MCO → YUL

took off 2:05 PM ET · expected to land 4:29 PM EDT (scheduled 1:55 PM ET → 5:25 PM EDT)

Forecast issued Sun 1:00 PM ET · 1h before departure

Arrive at YUL more than 15 minutes late?

0% chance · ±0 pts +2 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

How late will it get to YUL?

LIVE

On time or early
100%
15–30 min late
0%
30 min–1 hour late
0%
1–2 hours late
0%
Over 2 hours late
0%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%; while it’s in the air they come from the FAA’s arrival estimate.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Mostly benign weather forecast at MCO

↑ This route's recent record

↑ 1pm departures from MCO are often late

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at YUL

↓ YUL usually runs smoothly

Weather at each end

MCO (origin) Gusts12 kt Ceiling3,300 ft Visibility8 mi Precip0.05 in

YUL (destination) Gusts10 kt Ceiling2,200 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

RV 1637 · MCO → YUL

Odds over time

How late will it get to YUL?