Schedule: the flights that flew on Sunday, Oct 4, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SINGAPORE AIRLINES · FLIGHT SQ 7409
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Sunday, October 11 Today
SQ 7409 · LAX → SYD
departs 8:01 AM PT · arrives 4:48 PM AEDT
Forecast issued Sun 6:00 AM ET · 5h before departure
Watch this flight
Odds over time
Arrive at SYD more than 15 minutes late?
17%
chance · ±0 pts
−1 pt · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
High. The odds now come mostly from live FAA and airport data.
Arrive 15+ late
17%
Leave 15+ late
11%
Arrive 1h+ late
4%
Cancelled
<1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
5.6d
2d
1d
12h
Now
Departs
Lands
Arrive at SYD more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 16% · changed −1 pt in 24h
−1 pt
17%
Yes 17%
No 83%
Leave LAX more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 13% · changed −11 pts in 24h
−11 pts
11%
Yes 11%
No 89%
Arrive at SYD more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 4% · changed −3 pts in 24h
−3 pts
4%
Yes 4%
No 96%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: 1% · changed −1 pt in 24h
−1 pt
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to SYD?
On time or early
82%
15–30 min late
6%
30 min–1 hour late
8%
1–2 hours late
2%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
This route's recent record
↑
Mostly benign weather forecast at LAX
↑
LAX is busy at that time
↓
Early flights usually leave on time
↓
Arrivals into SYD at that hour are usually not late
Weather at each end
LAX (origin)
Gusts 21 kt Ceiling 3,500 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip 0.19 in
SYD (destination)
Gusts 8 kt Ceiling none (clear) Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.