SY 171 · LAS → XWA

departs 8:50 AM PT · arrives 1:25 PM CT

Your aircraft is N826SY (B738), coming in as SY 111 from MSP: landed 8:06 AM PT.

Forecast issued Sun 10:00 AM ET · 2h before departure

Arrive at XWA more than 15 minutes late?

73% chance · ±0 pts +32 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE High. The odds now come mostly from live FAA and airport data.

How late will it get to XWA?

On time or early
26%
15–30 min late
36%
30 min–1 hour late
14%
1–2 hours late
12%
Over 2 hours late
8%
Cancelled
5%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Gusts to 37 kt, visibility down to 2 mi, 1.0 in of rain forecast at LAS that day

↑ LAS is prone to delays

↑ Cloud base down to 633 ft, visibility down to 2 mi, 0.3 in of rain forecast at XWA that day

↓ Early flights usually leave on time

↓ XWA usually runs smoothly

Weather at each end

LAS (origin) Gusts35 kt Ceiling600 ft Visibility2.5 mi Precip1.88 in

XWA (destination) Gusts29 kt Ceiling200 ft Visibility2 mi Precip0.32 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

SY 171 · LAS → XWA

Odds over time

How late will it get to XWA?