SY 172 · XWA → LAS

departs 2:20 PM CT · arrives 3:15 PM PT

Forecast issued Sun 10:00 AM ET · 5h before departure

Arrive at LAS more than 15 minutes late?

76% chance · ±0 pts −8 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE High. The odds now come mostly from live FAA and airport data.

How late will it get to LAS?

On time or early
23%
15–30 min late
4%
30 min–1 hour late
27%
1–2 hours late
18%
Over 2 hours late
24%
Cancelled
4%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Gusts to 37 kt, visibility down to 2 mi, 1.0 in of rain forecast at LAS that day

↑ LAS is prone to delays

↑ Arrivals into LAS at that hour are often late

↓ SY's recent on-time record

↓ Sundays in October are usually quieter than average

Weather at each end

XWA (origin) Gusts29 kt Ceiling200 ft Visibility2 mi Precip0.32 in

LAS (destination) Gusts35 kt Ceiling600 ft Visibility2.5 mi Precip1.88 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

SY 172 · XWA → LAS

Odds over time

How late will it get to LAS?