Schedule: the flights that flew on Sunday, Oct 4, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.

SUN COUNTRY · FLIGHT SY 3053 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

Sunday, October 11 Today

SY 3053 · BNA → BWI

departs 6:51 PM CT · arrives 9:35 PM ET

Forecast issued Sun 6:00 AM ET · 14h before departure

Arrive at BWI more than 15 minutes late?

48% chance · ±2 pts +4 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.

How late will it get to BWI?

On time or early
50%
15–30 min late
17%
30 min–1 hour late
15%
1–2 hours late
7%
Over 2 hours late
7%
Cancelled
4%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Gusts to 26 kt, cloud base down to 200 ft, visibility down to 0.7 mi, 1.4 in of rain forecast at BWI that day

↑ Arrivals into BWI at that hour are often late

↑ 6pm departures from BNA are often late

↓ BNA usually runs smoothly

↓ BWI usually runs smoothly

Weather at each end

BNA (origin) Gusts17 kt Ceiling500 ft Visibility5 mi Precip0.04 in

BWI (destination) Gusts26 kt Ceiling200 ft Visibility0.5 mi Precip1.32 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

SY 3053 · BNA → BWI

Odds over time

How late will it get to BWI?