Schedule: the flights that flew on Sunday, Oct 4, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.

SUN COUNTRY · FLIGHT SY 8015 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

Sunday, October 11

SY 8015 · GFK → IFP

departs 10:00 AM CT · arrives 11:21 AM MT

Forecast issued Fri 6:00 PM ET · 41h before departure

Arrive at IFP more than 15 minutes late?

14% chance · ±2 pts +1 pt · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.

How late will it get to IFP?

On time or early
67%
15–30 min late
5%
30 min–1 hour late
2%
1–2 hours late
1%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
22%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Gusts to 41 kt, 1.5 in of rain forecast at IFP that day

↑ This route's recent record

↓ Arrivals into IFP at that hour are usually not late

↓ IFP usually runs smoothly

Weather at each end

GFK (origin) Gusts28 kt Ceiling1,200 ft Visibility8 mi Precipnone

IFP (destination) Gusts41 kt Ceiling1,800 ft Visibility4 mi Precip1.51 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

SY 8015 · GFK → IFP

Odds over time

How late will it get to IFP?