Schedule: the flights that flew on Sunday, Oct 4, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.

SUN COUNTRY · FLIGHT SY 8185 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

Sunday, October 11 Today

SY 8185 · DTW → BWI

departs 10:56 AM ET · arrives 12:35 PM ET

Forecast issued Sun 7:00 AM ET · 4h before departure

Arrive at BWI more than 15 minutes late?

23% chance · ±0 pts −6 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE High. The odds now come mostly from live FAA and airport data.

How late will it get to BWI?

On time or early
75%
15–30 min late
6%
30 min–1 hour late
10%
1–2 hours late
4%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
2%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Gusts to 26 kt, cloud base down to 200 ft, visibility down to 0.7 mi, 1.4 in of rain forecast at BWI that day

↑ This route's recent record

↑ 10am departures from DTW are often late

↓ Arrivals into BWI at that hour are usually not late

↓ DTW usually runs smoothly

Weather at each end

DTW (origin) Gusts12 kt Ceiling500 ft Visibility4 mi Precip0.17 in

BWI (destination) Gusts26 kt Ceiling200 ft Visibility0.5 mi Precip1.54 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

SY 8185 · DTW → BWI

Odds over time

How late will it get to BWI?