SY 8186 · ACY → BDL

took off 2:09 PM ET · landed 2:45 PM ET (scheduled 1:44 PM ET → 2:52 PM ET)

Forecast issued Sun 10:00 PM ET · 8h after departure

Arrive at BDL more than 15 minutes late?

Not late chance · ±0 pts +3 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

How late did it get to BDL?

RESOLVED

On time or early
✓
15–30 min late
–
30 min–1 hour late
–
1–2 hours late
–
Over 2 hours late
–

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Gusts to 27 kt, cloud base down to 200 ft, visibility down to 0.7 mi, 1.4 in of rain forecast at ACY that day

↑ Cloud base down to 700 ft, visibility down to 1 mi, 0.7 in of rain forecast at BDL that day

↑ 1pm departures from ACY are often late

↓ ACY usually runs smoothly

↓ Arrivals into BDL at that hour are usually not late

Weather at each end

ACY (origin) Gusts33 kt Ceiling160 ft Visibility0.5 mi Precip1.99 in

BDL (destination) Gusts13 kt Ceiling400 ft Visibility1.5 mi Precip1.82 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

SY 8186 · ACY → BDL

Odds over time

How late did it get to BDL?