SY 8186 · BDL → DTW

departs 3:28 PM ET · arrives 5:21 PM ET

Forecast issued Sun 6:00 AM ET · 10h before departure

Arrive at DTW more than 15 minutes late?

33% chance · ±0 pts – · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.

How late will it get to DTW?

On time or early
66%
15–30 min late
11%
30 min–1 hour late
10%
1–2 hours late
8%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ 3pm departures from BDL are often late

↑ Cloud base down to 600 ft, visibility down to 1 mi, 0.6 in of rain forecast at BDL that day

↑ Cloud base down to 600 ft forecast at DTW that day

↓ DTW usually runs smoothly

↓ Sundays in October are usually quieter than average

Weather at each end

BDL (origin) Gusts12 kt Ceiling600 ft Visibility1 mi Precip0.59 in

DTW (destination) Gusts12 kt Ceiling800 ft Visibility4 mi Precip0.21 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

SY 8186 · BDL → DTW

Odds over time

How late will it get to DTW?