Tracked live by the FAA, but its flight plan was first seen after takeoff, so we don't know the scheduled time and can't say whether it's late.

AVIANCA EL SALVADOR · FLIGHT TA 568 LANDED 4:59 AM ET, ~198 MIN EARLY · SCHEDULED TIME UNKNOWN

Sunday, October 11 Today

TA 568 · SAL → JFK

took off · landed 4:59 AM ET (scheduled time unknown)

Forecast issued Sun 10:00 PM ET · 18h after departure

Arrive at JFK more than 15 minutes late?

25% chance · ±0 pts −7 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Other factors

↑ Thunderstorms forecast at SAL that day

↑ This route's recent record

↓ Early flights usually leave on time

↓ Arrivals into JFK at that hour are usually not late

Weather at each end

SAL (origin) Gusts— Ceiling— Visibility— Precip—

JFK (destination) Gusts32 kt Ceiling780 ft Visibility1 mi Precip1.24 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

TA 568 · SAL → JFK

Odds over time