Schedule: FAA flight plans.

TAP AIR PORTUGAL · FLIGHT TP 243 IN THE AIR (OFF 1:00 PM WEST, SEEN BY ADS-B)
Today

TP 243 · LIS → ORD

took off 1:00 PM WEST (scheduled 12:40 PM WEST → 4:55 PM CT)
Forecast issued Sun 10:00 AM ET · 2h after departure

Odds over time

Arrive at ORD more than 15 minutes late?
18% chance · ±1 pts +3 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.
WEATHER FORECASTS LIVE IN THE AIR 0% 15% 30% 45% 60% 3.8d 2d 1d 12h 6h Departs Lands

How late will it get to ORD?

  1. On time or early
    80%
  2. 15–30 min late
    8%
  3. 30 min–1 hour late
    4%
  4. 1–2 hours late
    3%
  5. Over 2 hours late
    2%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.