UA 1080 · EWR → SJO

took off 8:56 AM ET · landed 11:47 AM CST (scheduled 8:18 AM ET → 11:35 AM CST)

Forecast issued Sun 10:00 PM ET · 14h after departure

Arrive at SJO more than 15 minutes late?

Late chance · ±0 pts +3 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

How late did it get to SJO?

RESOLVED

On time or early
–
15–30 min late
✓
30 min–1 hour late
–
1–2 hours late
–
Over 2 hours late
–

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Gusts to 30 kt, cloud base down to 400 ft, visibility down to 1 mi, 1.1 in of rain forecast at EWR that day

↑ EWR is prone to delays

↑ EWR is busy at that time

↓ Early flights usually leave on time

↓ Sundays in October are usually quieter than average

Weather at each end

EWR (origin) Gusts22 kt Ceiling780 ft Visibility2.5 mi Precip1.86 in

SJO (destination) Gusts8 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

UA 1080 · EWR → SJO

Odds over time

How late did it get to SJO?