UA 1345 · YYZ → IAH

took off 6:41 AM EDT · expected to land 8:30 AM CT (scheduled 6:27 AM EDT → 9:08 AM CT)

Forecast issued Sun 6:00 AM ET · 0h before departure

Arrive at IAH more than 15 minutes late?

0% chance · ±0 pts +4 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

How late will it get to IAH?

LIVE

On time or early
100%
15–30 min late
0%
30 min–1 hour late
0%
1–2 hours late
0%
Over 2 hours late
0%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%; while it’s in the air they come from the FAA’s arrival estimate.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Cloud base down to 300 ft forecast at YYZ that day

↑ 6am departures from YYZ are often late

↑ This route's recent record

↓ Early flights usually leave on time

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at IAH

Weather at each end

YYZ (origin) Gusts11 kt Ceiling300 ft Visibility7 mi Precip0.04 in

IAH (destination) Gusts19 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

UA 1345 · YYZ → IAH

Odds over time

How late will it get to IAH?