UA 1480 · EWR → NAS

departs 10:14 AM ET · arrives 1:18 PM EDT

Your aircraft is N27255 (B38M), coming in as UA 1289 from CHS: in the air, landing about 8:35 AM ET, 90 min before departure.

Forecast issued Sun 6:00 AM ET · 4h before departure

Arrive at NAS more than 15 minutes late?

32% chance · ±0 pts −3 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE High. The odds now come mostly from live FAA and airport data.

How late will it get to NAS?

On time or early
67%
15–30 min late
10%
30 min–1 hour late
14%
1–2 hours late
5%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
2%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Gusts to 30 kt, cloud base down to 400 ft, visibility down to 1 mi, 1.1 in of rain forecast at EWR that day

↑ EWR is prone to delays

↑ 10am departures from EWR are often late

↓ Early flights usually leave on time

↓ Sundays in October are usually quieter than average

Weather at each end

EWR (origin) Gusts30 kt Ceiling500 ft Visibility1 mi Precip1.03 in

NAS (destination) Gusts14 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility6 mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

UA 1480 · EWR → NAS

Odds over time

How late will it get to NAS?