Schedule: FAA flight plans.

UNITED · FLIGHT UA 1560 DEPARTURE NOT REPORTED YET (THE FAA SEES FLIGHTS FROM ABROAD ONCE THEY NEAR US AIRSPACE)

Sunday, October 11 Today

UA 1560 · SJO → EWR

departs 12:43 PM CST · arrives 7:38 PM ET

Your aircraft is N37351 (B38M), coming in as UA 1080 from EWR: still at EWR, due off about 8:48 AM ET, 61 min before departure.

Forecast issued Sun 3:00 PM ET · 0h before departure

Arrive at EWR more than 15 minutes late?

86% chance · ±0 pts −3 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

How late will it get to EWR?

On time or early
18%
15–30 min late
0%
30 min–1 hour late
23%
1–2 hours late
26%
Over 2 hours late
30%
Cancelled
3%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Gusts to 29 kt, cloud base down to 500 ft, visibility down to 1 mi, 1.3 in of rain forecast at EWR that day

↑ EWR is prone to delays

↑ Arrivals into EWR at that hour are often late

↓ Sundays in October are usually quieter than average

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at SJO

Weather at each end

SJO (origin) Gusts8 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

EWR (destination) Gusts26 kt Ceiling300 ft Visibility0.5 mi Precip1.14 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

UA 1560 · SJO → EWR

Odds over time

How late will it get to EWR?