UA 1661 · IAD → PUJ

took off 9:34 AM ET · expected to land 1:02 PM AST (scheduled 8:48 AM ET → 12:45 PM AST)

Forecast issued Sun 10:00 AM ET · 1h after departure

Arrive at PUJ more than 15 minutes late?

82% chance · ±0 pts +0 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

How late will it get to PUJ?

LIVE

On time or early
18%
15–30 min late
54%
30 min–1 hour late
28%
1–2 hours late
<1%
Over 2 hours late
0%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%; while it’s in the air they come from the FAA’s arrival estimate.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Cloud base down to 200 ft, visibility down to 0.5 mi, 1.6 in of rain forecast at IAD that day

↑ This route's recent record

↑ Mostly benign weather forecast at PUJ

↓ Sundays in October are usually quieter than average

↓ Early flights usually leave on time

Weather at each end

IAD (origin) Gusts21 kt Ceiling200 ft Visibility0.5 mi Precip2.66 in

PUJ (destination) Gusts— Ceiling— Visibility— Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

UA 1661 · IAD → PUJ

Odds over time

How late will it get to PUJ?