Schedule: the flights that flew on Sunday, Oct 4, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
UNITED · FLIGHT UA 1744SCHEDULED · TYPICAL ODDS
UA 1744 · SRQ → ORD
departs 4:20 PM ET · arrives 6:28 PM CT
Forecast issued Mon 8:00 PM ET · 140h before departure
Typical odds
Too early for a weather forecast — these are typical odds for this flight on a Sunday in October, from the weather this date has had in past years (the range shows how much they varied). They’ll switch to forecast-based odds about 3 days before departure.
Odds over time
Arrive at ORD more than 15 minutes late?
52%chance · ±40 pts+1 pt · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARELow. This is mostly a starting point from history; weather forecasts haven't kicked in yet.
How late will it get to ORD?
On time or early
47%
15–30 min late
14%
30 min–1 hour late
11%
1–2 hours late
14%
Over 2 hours late
11%
Cancelled
3%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.