UA 1764 · BDL → IAD

departs 3:02 PM ET · arrives 4:35 PM ET

Your aircraft is N36472 (B739), coming in as UA 632 from IAD: landed 1:50 PM ET.

Forecast issued Sun 1:00 PM ET · 2h before departure

Arrive at IAD more than 15 minutes late?

95% chance · ±0 pts +16 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE High. The odds now come mostly from live FAA and airport data.

How late will it get to IAD?

On time or early
32%
15–30 min late
38%
30 min–1 hour late
2%
1–2 hours late
22%
Over 2 hours late
5%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Cloud base down to 200 ft, visibility down to 0.5 mi, 3.1 in of rain forecast at IAD that day

↑ Cloud base down to 700 ft, visibility down to 1 mi, 0.7 in of rain forecast at BDL that day

↑ Arrivals into IAD at that hour are often late

↓ Sundays in October are usually quieter than average

Weather at each end

BDL (origin) Gusts12 kt Ceiling700 ft Visibility2 mi Precip0.65 in

IAD (destination) Gusts16 kt Ceiling200 ft Visibility0.5 mi Precip2.32 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

UA 1764 · BDL → IAD

Odds over time

How late will it get to IAD?