UA 2317 · BOS → SFO

took off 8:19 AM ET · expected to land 11:09 AM PT (scheduled 7:41 AM ET → 11:07 AM PT)

Forecast issued Sun 10:00 AM ET · 2h after departure

Arrive at SFO more than 15 minutes late?

29% chance · ±0 pts +0 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

How late will it get to SFO?

LIVE

On time or early
71%
15–30 min late
27%
30 min–1 hour late
2%
1–2 hours late
0%
Over 2 hours late
0%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%; while it’s in the air they come from the FAA’s arrival estimate.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Arrivals into SFO at that hour are often late

↑ SFO is prone to delays

↑ This flight has been late 24% of the time recently

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at SFO

↓ Early flights usually leave on time

Weather at each end

BOS (origin) Gusts9 kt Ceiling500 ft Visibility2 mi Precip0.18 in

SFO (destination) Gusts17 kt Ceiling1,700 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

UA 2317 · BOS → SFO

Odds over time

How late will it get to SFO?