tailodds FORECAST

Schedule: the flights that flew on Sunday, Oct 4, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.

UNITED · FLIGHT UA 2780 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL ODDS

UA 2780 · LAX → ORD

departs 4:41 PM PT · arrives 10:42 PM CT
Forecast issued Mon 12:00 AM ET · 164h before departure

Typical odds Too early for a weather forecast — these are typical odds for this flight on a Sunday in October, from the weather this date has had in past years (the range shows how much they varied). They’ll switch to forecast-based odds about 3 days before departure.

Arrive at ORD more than 15 minutes late?
41% chance · ±21 pts – · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE Low. This is mostly a starting point from history; weather forecasts haven't kicked in yet.
MOSTLY HISTORY WEATHER FORECASTS LIVE IN THE AIR 0% 20% 40% 60% 80% Now 2d 1d 12h 6h Departs Lands

How late will it get to ORD?

  1. On time or early
    59%
  2. 15–30 min late
    19%
  3. 30 min–1 hour late
    4%
  4. 1–2 hours late
    12%
  5. Over 2 hours late
    6%
  6. Cancelled
    <1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.