UA 3018 · SAN → EWR

departs 8:20 AM PT · arrives 5:02 PM ET

Forecast issued Sun 6:00 AM ET · 5h before departure

Arrive at EWR more than 15 minutes late?

51% chance · ±0 pts – · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE High. The odds now come mostly from live FAA and airport data.

How late will it get to EWR?

On time or early
48%
15–30 min late
1%
30 min–1 hour late
11%
1–2 hours late
19%
Over 2 hours late
18%
Cancelled
4%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Gusts to 30 kt, cloud base down to 400 ft, visibility down to 1 mi, 1.1 in of rain forecast at EWR that day

↑ Gusts to 27 kt, 1.3 in of rain forecast at SAN that day

↑ Arrivals into EWR at that hour are often late

↓ Early flights usually leave on time

↓ Other factors

Weather at each end

SAN (origin) Gusts27 kt Ceiling2,200 ft Visibility4 mi Precip1.04 in

EWR (destination) Gusts30 kt Ceiling500 ft Visibility1 mi Precip1.03 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

UA 3018 · SAN → EWR

Odds over time

How late will it get to EWR?