Schedule: FAA flight plans.

UNITED · FLIGHT UA 331 IN THE AIR (OFF 10:23 PM CEST, SEEN BY ADS-B, ETA 1:30 AM ET)

Sunday, October 11 Yesterday

UA 331 · CDG → IAD

took off 10:23 PM CEST · expected to land 1:30 AM ET (scheduled 4:59 PM CEST → 8:43 PM ET)

Forecast issued Sun 4:00 PM ET · 5h after departure

Arrive at IAD more than 15 minutes late?

100% chance · ±0 pts +0 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

How late will it get to IAD?

LIVE

On time or early
0%
15–30 min late
0%
30 min–1 hour late
0%
1–2 hours late
0%
Over 2 hours late
100%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%; while it’s in the air they come from the FAA’s arrival estimate.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Cloud base down to 200 ft, visibility down to 0.5 mi, 1.6 in of rain forecast at IAD that day

↑ Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day

↑ This route's recent record

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at CDG

↓ IAD usually runs smoothly

Weather at each end

CDG (origin) Gusts8 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

IAD (destination) Gusts11 kt Ceiling300 ft Visibility1.5 mi Precip2.23 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

UA 331 · CDG → IAD

Odds over time

How late will it get to IAD?