tailodds FORECAST

Schedule: FAA flight plans.

UNITED · FLIGHT UA 822 IN THE AIR (OFF 5:15 AM CST, SEEN BY ADS-B, ETA 8:12 AM PT)
Today

UA 822 · MEX → SFO

took off 5:15 AM CST · expected to land 8:12 AM PT (scheduled 4:59 AM CST → 8:33 AM PT)
Forecast issued Sun 6:00 AM ET · 1h before departure
Arrive at SFO more than 15 minutes late?
<1% chance · ±0 pts −2 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.
MOSTLY HISTORY WEATHER FORECASTS LIVE IN THE AIR 0% 15% 30% 45% 60% 6.3d 2d 1d 12h 6h Departs Lands

How late will it get to SFO?

LIVE
  1. On time or early
    100%
  2. 15–30 min late
    <1%
  3. 30 min–1 hour late
    0%
  4. 1–2 hours late
    0%
  5. Over 2 hours late
    0%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%; while it’s in the air they come from the FAA’s arrival estimate.