UA 915 · IAD → CDG

departs 6:25 PM ET · arrives 8:02 AM CEST

Your aircraft is N78004 (B772), coming in as UA 885 from FCO: landed 2:10 PM ET.

Forecast issued Sun 2:00 PM ET · 4h before departure

Arrive at CDG more than 15 minutes late?

36% chance · ±0 pts +9 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE High. The odds now come mostly from live FAA and airport data.

How late will it get to CDG?

On time or early
64%
15–30 min late
18%
30 min–1 hour late
0%
1–2 hours late
14%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Cloud base down to 200 ft, visibility down to 0.5 mi, 2.2 in of rain forecast at IAD that day

↑ 6pm departures from IAD are often late

↑ This route's recent record

↓ IAD usually runs smoothly

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at CDG

Weather at each end

IAD (origin) Gusts11 kt Ceiling200 ft Visibility0.5 mi Precip2.24 in

CDG (destination) Gusts8 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

UA 915 · IAD → CDG

Odds over time

How late will it get to CDG?