tailodds FORECAST

Schedule: FAA flight plans.

VIVA AEROBUS · FLIGHT VB 186 IN THE AIR (OFF 6:43 AM CST, SEEN BY ADS-B)
Today

VB 186 · MEX → ORD

took off 6:43 AM CST (scheduled 5:45 AM CST → 10:49 AM CT)
Forecast issued Sun 10:00 AM ET · 2h after departure
Arrive at ORD more than 15 minutes late?
11% chance · ±1 pts +0 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.
MOSTLY HISTORY WEATHER FORECASTS LIVE IN THE AIR 0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 5.5d 2d 1d 12h 6h Departs Now Lands

How late will it get to ORD?

  1. On time or early
    86%
  2. 15–30 min late
    3%
  3. 30 min–1 hour late
    4%
  4. 1–2 hours late
    2%
  5. Over 2 hours late
    2%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.