VB 700 · MTY → MCO

took off · landed 1:48 PM ET (scheduled 9:16 AM CST → 2:47 PM ET)

Forecast issued Sun 2:00 PM ET · 3h after departure

Arrive at MCO more than 15 minutes late?

Not late chance · ±1 pts +5 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

How late did it get to MCO?

RESOLVED

On time or early
✓
15–30 min late
–
30 min–1 hour late
–
1–2 hours late
–
Over 2 hours late
–

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Mostly benign weather forecast at MCO

↑ Arrivals into MCO at that hour are often late

↑ MCO is busy at that time

↓ Other factors

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at MTY

Weather at each end

MTY (origin) Gusts17 kt Ceiling9,000 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

MCO (destination) Gusts11 kt Ceiling3,300 ft Visibility8 mi Precip0.03 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

VB 700 · MTY → MCO

Odds over time

How late did it get to MCO?