VS 141 · LHR → LAX

took off 3:06 PM BST (scheduled 2:30 PM BST → 6:02 PM PT)

Forecast issued Sun 10:00 AM ET · 0h before departure

Arrive at LAX more than 15 minutes late?

35% chance · ±4 pts +1 pt · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

How late will it get to LAX?

On time or early
63%
15–30 min late
15%
30 min–1 hour late
9%
1–2 hours late
6%
Over 2 hours late
4%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Mostly benign weather forecast at LAX

↑ LAX is prone to delays

↑ Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at LHR

↓ Other factors

Weather at each end

LHR (origin) Gusts8 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

LAX (destination) Gusts20 kt Ceiling3,500 ft Visibility10+ mi Precip0.06 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

VS 141 · LHR → LAX

Odds over time

How late will it get to LAX?