WN 2131 · BWI → PIT

departs 10:20 PM ET · arrives 11:30 PM ET

Forecast issued Sun 7:00 AM ET · 15h before departure

Arrive at PIT more than 15 minutes late?

50% chance · ±4 pts +0 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.

How late will it get to PIT?

On time or early
49%
15–30 min late
11%
30 min–1 hour late
18%
1–2 hours late
17%
Over 2 hours late
4%
Cancelled
2%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Gusts to 26 kt, cloud base down to 200 ft, visibility down to 0.7 mi, 1.4 in of rain forecast at BWI that day

↑ 10pm departures from BWI are often late

↑ Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day

↓ PIT usually runs smoothly

↓ Sundays in October are usually quieter than average

Weather at each end

BWI (origin) Gusts26 kt Ceiling200 ft Visibility0.5 mi Precip1.54 in

PIT (destination) Gusts23 kt Ceiling400 ft Visibility2 mi Precip2.33 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

WN 2131 · BWI → PIT

Odds over time

How late will it get to PIT?