WN 2766 · MCO → MCI

took off 7:16 AM ET · expected to land 8:37 AM CT (scheduled 6:41 AM ET → 8:32 AM CT)

Forecast issued Sun 6:00 AM ET · 1h before departure

Arrive at MCI more than 15 minutes late?

32% chance · ±0 pts +1 pt · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

How late will it get to MCI?

LIVE

On time or early
68%
15–30 min late
30%
30 min–1 hour late
3%
1–2 hours late
0%
Over 2 hours late
0%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%; while it’s in the air they come from the FAA’s arrival estimate.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Mostly benign weather forecast at MCO

↑ This flight has been late 24% of the time recently

↑ MCO is busy at that time

↓ Early flights usually leave on time

↓ 6am departures from MCO are usually not late

Weather at each end

MCO (origin) Gusts16 kt Ceiling6,000 ft Visibility10+ mi Precip0.15 in

MCI (destination) Gusts23 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

WN 2766 · MCO → MCI

Odds over time

How late will it get to MCI?