WN 2904 · BWI → ATL

departs 6:20 PM ET · arrives 8:26 PM ET

Forecast issued Sun 7:00 AM ET · 11h before departure

Arrive at ATL more than 15 minutes late?

56% chance · ±0 pts −7 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.

How late will it get to ATL?

On time or early
43%
15–30 min late
4%
30 min–1 hour late
30%
1–2 hours late
17%
Over 2 hours late
5%
Cancelled
1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Gusts to 26 kt, cloud base down to 200 ft, visibility down to 0.7 mi, 1.4 in of rain forecast at BWI that day

↑ Arrivals into ATL at that hour are often late

↑ 6pm departures from BWI are often late

↓ Other factors

↓ Sundays in October are usually quieter than average

Weather at each end

BWI (origin) Gusts26 kt Ceiling200 ft Visibility0.5 mi Precip1.54 in

ATL (destination) Gusts24 kt Ceiling1,100 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

WN 2904 · BWI → ATL

Odds over time

How late will it get to ATL?