WN 3104 · BWI → SLC

departs 12:55 PM ET · arrives 3:27 PM MT

Forecast issued Sun 7:00 AM ET · 6h before departure

Arrive at SLC more than 15 minutes late?

49% chance · ±0 pts +1 pt · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE High. The odds now come mostly from live FAA and airport data.

How late will it get to SLC?

On time or early
50%
15–30 min late
22%
30 min–1 hour late
13%
1–2 hours late
9%
Over 2 hours late
4%
Cancelled
2%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Gusts to 26 kt, cloud base down to 200 ft, visibility down to 0.7 mi, 1.4 in of rain forecast at BWI that day

↑ Gusts to 35 kt, 0.6 in of rain forecast at SLC that day

↑ This flight has been late 22% of the time recently

↓ Sundays in October are usually quieter than average

↓ SLC usually runs smoothly

Weather at each end

BWI (origin) Gusts26 kt Ceiling200 ft Visibility0.5 mi Precip1.54 in

SLC (destination) Gusts35 kt Ceiling2,967 ft Visibility10+ mi Precip0.55 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

WN 3104 · BWI → SLC

Odds over time

How late will it get to SLC?