WN 322 · BWI → LAS

departs 12:55 PM ET · arrives 2:49 PM PT

Your aircraft is N8647A (B738), coming in as WN 4554 from CMH: landed 6:40 AM ET.

Forecast issued Sun 11:00 AM ET · 2h before departure

Arrive at LAS more than 15 minutes late?

100% chance · ±0 pts −1 pt · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE High. The odds now come mostly from live FAA and airport data.

How late will it get to LAS?

On time or early
23%
15–30 min late
26%
30 min–1 hour late
8%
1–2 hours late
32%
Over 2 hours late
10%
Cancelled
1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Gusts to 35 kt, cloud base down to 600 ft, visibility down to 2.5 mi, 1.1 in of rain forecast at LAS that day

↑ LAS is prone to delays

↑ Gusts to 27 kt, cloud base down to 200 ft, visibility down to 0.5 mi, 0.8 in of rain forecast at BWI that day

↓ Sundays in October are usually quieter than average

↓ Other factors

Weather at each end

BWI (origin) Gusts27 kt Ceiling200 ft Visibility0.5 mi Precip0.78 in

LAS (destination) Gusts35 kt Ceiling600 ft Visibility2.5 mi Precip1.13 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

WN 322 · BWI → LAS

Odds over time

How late will it get to LAS?