WN 3350 · LAS → PHX

departs 7:40 AM PT · arrives 8:57 AM MT

Your aircraft is N8946L (B38M), coming in as WN 2336 from SJC: landed 8:06 AM PT.

Forecast issued Sun 11:00 AM ET · 0h before departure

Arrive at PHX more than 15 minutes late?

100% chance · ±0 pts −7 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

How late will it get to PHX?

On time or early
57%
15–30 min late
14%
30 min–1 hour late
17%
1–2 hours late
4%
Over 2 hours late
4%
Cancelled
4%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Gusts to 37 kt, visibility down to 2 mi, 1.0 in of rain forecast at LAS that day

↑ LAS is prone to delays

↑ Gusts to 35 kt forecast at PHX that day

↓ Early flights usually leave on time

↓ 7am departures from LAS are usually not late

Weather at each end

LAS (origin) Gusts35 kt Ceiling600 ft Visibility2.5 mi Precip1.13 in

PHX (destination) Gusts32 kt Ceiling6,500 ft Visibility2 mi Precip0.46 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

WN 3350 · LAS → PHX

Odds over time

How late will it get to PHX?