Schedule: the flights that flew on Sunday, Oct 4, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SOUTHWEST · FLIGHT WN 3359
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Sunday, October 11 Today
WN 3359 · PHX → BNA
departs 11:43 PM MT · arrives 5:00 AM CT
Your aircraft is N8902Q (B38M), coming in as WN 4006 from SNA: landed 10:03 PM MT.
Forecast issued Sun 10:00 PM ET · 5h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Sun 10/11
Today 25%
Tue 10/13 9%
Wed 10/14 10%
Thu 10/15 12%
Fri 10/16 13%
Sat 10/17 10%
Odds over time
Arrive at BNA more than 15 minutes late?
51%
chance · ±0 pts
+23 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
High. The odds now come mostly from live FAA and airport data.
Arrive 15+ late
51%
Leave 15+ late
65%
Arrive 1h+ late
21%
Cancelled
1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
20%
40%
60%
80%
6.3d
2d
1d
12h
6h
Now
Departs
Lands
Arrive at BNA more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 28% · changed +23 pts in 24h
+23 pts
51%
Yes 51%
No 49%
Leave PHX more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 42% · changed +18 pts in 24h
+18 pts
65%
Yes 65%
No 35%
Arrive at BNA more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 8% · changed +12 pts in 24h
+12 pts
21%
Yes 21%
No 79%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
1%
Yes 1%
No 99%
How late will it get to BNA?
On time or early
48%
15–30 min late
37%
30 min–1 hour late
0%
1–2 hours late
12%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Gusts to 37 kt, 0.3 in of rain, thunderstorms forecast at PHX that day
↑
Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day
↑
WN's recent on-time record
↓
11pm departures from PHX are usually not late
↓
Cloud base down to 300 ft, visibility down to 1 mi forecast at BNA that day
Weather at each end
PHX (origin)
Gusts 37 kt Ceiling 6,500 ft Visibility 5 mi Precip 0.27 in
BNA (destination)
Gusts 16 kt Ceiling 300 ft Visibility 1 mi Precip 0.05 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.