WN 3607 · LAS → PHX

departs 11:13 AM PT · arrives 12:30 PM MT

Your aircraft is N8518R (B738), coming in as WN 1761 from SFO: landed 11:21 AM PT.

Forecast issued Sun 1:00 PM ET · 1h before departure

Arrive at PHX more than 15 minutes late?

100% chance · ±0 pts −19 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE High. The odds now come mostly from live FAA and airport data.

How late will it get to PHX?

On time or early
40%
15–30 min late
10%
30 min–1 hour late
30%
1–2 hours late
7%
Over 2 hours late
10%
Cancelled
3%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Gusts to 35 kt, cloud base down to 600 ft, visibility down to 2.5 mi, 1.1 in of rain forecast at LAS that day

↑ Gusts to 32 kt, visibility down to 2 mi, 0.5 in of rain, thunderstorms forecast at PHX that day

↑ LAS is prone to delays

↓ Early flights usually leave on time

↓ Sundays in October are usually quieter than average

Weather at each end

LAS (origin) Gusts35 kt Ceiling600 ft Visibility2.5 mi Precip1.11 in

PHX (destination) Gusts36 kt Ceiling6,500 ft Visibility2 mi Precip0.40 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

WN 3607 · LAS → PHX

Odds over time

How late will it get to PHX?